Valmiera FC vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
FSM
2 - 2
VAL
31%
24%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
FKJ
1 - 2
VAL
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
LIE
0 - 1
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 2
FKS
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
VEN
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
RIG
1 - 2
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
FKT
1 - 5
CAR
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
FSM
77%
16%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |