Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis


78	ELO	56
1.8%	Tilt	19.7%
825º	General ELO ranking	1811º
1º	Country ELO ranking	7º
ELO win probability

79%

Valmiera FC

15.1%

Draw

5.9%

BFC Daugavpils

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

79%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%

15.1%

Draw

0-0

6.4%

1-1

6.7%

2-2

1.8%

3-3

0.2%

4-4

<0%

0

15.1%

5.9%

Win probability

0.46

Expected goals

0-1

2.9%

1-2

1.5%

2-3

0.3%

3-4

0%

-1

4.8%

0-2

0.7%

1-3

0.2%

2-4

0%

-2

0.9%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.1%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

53

3º

8º

4º

36

7º

10º

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

7º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	89	89	1º	100%
2º	88	88	2º	100%
3º	58	58	3º	100%
4º	53	53	4º	100%
5º	51	51	5º	100%
6º	40	40	6º	100%
7º	36	36	7º	100%
8º	35	35	8º	100%
9º	33	33	9º	100%
10º	14	14	10º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champions League qualifying phase (1st r	0%	0%
Conference League knock out round	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valmiera FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 May. 2023	FKT 0 - 0 VAL 13% 20% 67%	77	58	19	0
12 May. 2023	VAL 1 - 1 AUD 64% 22% 14%	77	68	9	0
08 May. 2023	VAL 3 - 1 SUP 81% 14% 5%	77	49	28	0
04 May. 2023	RIG 2 - 1 VAL 35% 25% 40%	78	76	2	-1
30 Apr. 2023	CAR 3 - 0 VAL 38% 25% 37%	78	78	0	0

Matches

BFC Daugavpils

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
18 May. 2023	BFC 1 - 1 FSM 34% 26% 41%	56	58	2
14 May. 2023	SUP 0 - 4 BFC 34% 25% 42%	56	49	7
08 May. 2023	CAR 1 - 0 BFC 77% 17% 6%	56	78	22
03 May. 2023	BFC 3 - 3 FKT 28% 25% 48%	56	60	4
28 Apr. 2023	BFC 0 - 2 AUD 23% 27% 50%	56	68	12