Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 2
VAL
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
LIE
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SUP
1 - 5
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
RIG
1 - 3
VAL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 4
RIG
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FKT
0 - 1
BFC
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BFC
2 - 0
FSM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
SUP
0 - 0
BFC
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BFC
2 - 0
FKS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |