Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
RIG
2 - 3
VAL
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 2
KYZ
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 2
MFK
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
AKT
6 - 1
VAL
6%
10%
85%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LVI
1 - 1
VAL
19%
20%
61%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BFC
2 - 1
FKS
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
RIG
3 - 1
BFC
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FKS
3 - 3
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 3
FKS
21%
23%
55%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 0
BFC
67%
19%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |