Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
FKJ
2 - 2
VAL
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LIE
2 - 0
VAL
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -3 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
FKS
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
FKT
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 0
VEN
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 2
RIG
9%
17%
74%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
80%
15%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 0
FSM
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FKT
2 - 1
BFC
61%
21%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |