Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 0
FKJ
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAR
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
FSM
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
RIG
3 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FKS
4 - 0
VAL
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BFC
1 - 0
FSM
45%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
NEM
1 - 1
BFC
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
5 - 0
BFC
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FKT
1 - 2
BFC
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BFC
4 - 0
SUP
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |