Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FKJ
1 - 6
VAL
30%
23%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
VEN
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 1
FKT
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 3
RIG
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
BFC
3 - 0
RIG
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
BFC
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BFC
3 - 0
FCJ
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
GUL
0 - 3
BFC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BFC
1 - 0
LME
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |