Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
LIE
1 - 1
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
FKT
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LIE
6 - 0
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 1
FCS
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BFC
2 - 1
ILU
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 2
LME
26%
23%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BFC
0 - 3
FSM
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 5
RIG
31%
23%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |