Valmiera FC vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RIG
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
VAL
25%
24%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 3
AUD
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |