Valmiera FC vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
8º
4º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
RIG
35%
25%
39%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
FKT
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
VAL
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
FSM
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 2
AUD
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |