Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-3
Valletta FC vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
KUK
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
KUK
0 - 0
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BIR
1 - 2
VAL
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
3 - 1
GOS
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
TNV
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
TNV
1 - 0
ZRI
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |