de Valleivogels vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
de Valleivogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
4 - 2
DEV
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 3
CSW
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
EEM
2 - 0
DEV
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
DEV
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DEV
3 - 3
VVZ
25%
22%
54%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
SDV
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ZUI
0 - 0
SWI
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 3
ROD
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SWI
4 - 0
DEM
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
SWI
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |