Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-4
Real Valladolid vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 1
VAD
35%
25%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
VAD
0 - 1
RAC
43%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NUM
4 - 3
VAD
26%
25%
48%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VAD
3 - 0
DEP
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 1
VAD
35%
25%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ATH
3 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |