Real Valladolid vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
GIR
1 - 0
VAD
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
VAD
4 - 0
BAS
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SAB
1 - 0
VAD
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
VAD
2 - 0
RAC
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
DEP
3 - 0
VAD
43%
24%
34%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
RJA
1 - 0
EXT
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LEV
4 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
RJA
2 - 3
CAD
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
HER
1 - 0
RJA
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
RJA
1 - 1
CCF
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |