Real Valladolid vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 1
VAD
18%
27%
55%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VAD
0 - 0
PON
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
VAD
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VAD
2 - 0
CCF
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MLL
0 - 1
VAD
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 0
MLL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
NUM
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
GIR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 0
NUM
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
NUM
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |