Real Valladolid vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
VAD
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
2 - 1
VIL
32%
29%
40%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 0
XER
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
POL
0 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 1
CIU
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 1
NUM
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 0
SPO
53%
27%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |