Real Valladolid vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 1
VAD
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VAD
4 - 0
ALC
59%
25%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
RAY
4 - 1
VAD
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VAD
4 - 1
CCF
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HUE
1 - 0
VAD
33%
26%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 0
CCF
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDT
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 2
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |