Real Valladolid vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
EIB
0 - 1
VAD
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
VAD
3 - 2
LLE
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 3
SPO
59%
25%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CDT
2 - 1
VAD
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
VAD
0 - 2
CIU
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CDT
2 - 3
LOR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 2
CIU
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
LOR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
XER
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |