Real Valladolid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
82.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 0
VAD
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 0
VAD
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
VAD
2 - 0
RAY
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
OVI
0 - 0
VAD
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
VAD
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
3 - 0
ALA
93%
6%
1%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
3 - 0
BOC
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 1
SEV
81%
12%
7%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 0
FCB
12%
19%
68%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 4
ROM
83%
11%
6%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |