Segunda Play-Offs First-leg Final
Global 2-1
Real Valladolid vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
VAD
3 - 0
CCF
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
CCF
0 - 0
VAD
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 3
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |