Valken '68 vs Zwaluwen .30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valken '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HVC
0 - 2
VAL
63%
19%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NOO
1 - 2
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
ARC
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZWA
1 - 1
ARC
49%
22%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 0
ZWA
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ZWA
1 - 5
NOO
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ZWA
1 - 2
RIJ
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BVC
1 - 2
ZWA
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |