De Valk vs Someren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MIN
0 - 7
DEV
58%
20%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ZSV
3 - 3
DEV
66%
17%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 1
DEV
22%
20%
59%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DEV
2 - 1
DEU
29%
23%
49%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 1
DEV
66%
18%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Someren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SVS
1 - 2
SSS
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 1
SVS
71%
16%
12%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SVS
0 - 3
ZSV
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MIN
3 - 2
SVS
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SVS
0 - 2
WIT
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |