De Valk vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
4 - 3
DEV
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DES
0 - 1
DEV
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DEV
1 - 1
EHC
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAP
3 - 2
DEV
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 2
VEN
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DIJ
0 - 1
GEM
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GEM
4 - 0
VEN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
OJC
0 - 1
GEM
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GEM
5 - 2
DES
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 0
GEM
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |