De Valk vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCH
4 - 5
DEV
27%
20%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MIN
5 - 1
DEV
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 1
SUS
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
DEV
3 - 3
SCH
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DEV
2 - 2
DEU
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RKS
0 - 3
GEL
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 3
DEU
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
WIT
1 - 0
GEL
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 1
RKV
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 0
VEN
71%
17%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |