De Valk vs EFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LON
3 - 2
DEV
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 1
IFC
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TSC
0 - 4
DEV
13%
18%
69%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DEV
1 - 2
MEE
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
4 - 1
DEV
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EFC
0 - 4
DES
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
JEK
1 - 2
EFC
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
EFC
2 - 3
BVV
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GOE
3 - 4
EFC
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EFC
0 - 1
NEM
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |