Vålerenga II vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
10º
44
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 1
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
VAR
35%
23%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
ORN
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 5
FRA
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
FFC
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 2
FKA
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 1
AAL
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
FKA
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 3
NOT
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |