Valerenga IF vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
12º
1º
20
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
24 | 60 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 37 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 35 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 33 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 28 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 27 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
AIK
4 - 0
VIF
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIF
3 - 1
TRO
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIF
5 - 3
S08
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
VIF
0 - 3
BBS
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VIF
4 - 1
RBK
35%
24%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 2
BBS
11%
16%
73%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RAU
1 - 5
SOG
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 0
SOG
33%
24%
44%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SOG
0 - 0
ASA
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SOG
3 - 0
FFC
76%
14%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |