Valerenga IF vs Sarpsborg FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1965 |
SKE
1 - 0
VIF
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1965 |
VIF
1 - 7
LYN
49%
21%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1965 |
VIF
3 - 1
SDF
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1965 |
VKG
0 - 1
VIF
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1965 |
VIF
4 - 1
FFK
42%
23%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
ODD
1 - 1
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
SAR
2 - 1
STE
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1965 |
FFK
6 - 0
SAR
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1965 |
FRI
3 - 3
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1965 |
SAR
3 - 0
LYN
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |