Valerenga IF vs Sandefjord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
11º
11º
27
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
BOG
7 - 2
VIF
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
3 - 0
HAU
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 0
VIF
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
FFK
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sandefjord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
3 - 2
S08
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
6 - 0
KRI
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BOG
2 - 0
SDF
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 0
RBK
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BBS
1 - 0
SDF
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |