Valerenga IF vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
11º
11º
30
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GOF
1 - 1
VIF
5%
12%
84%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
FFK
2 - 0
VIF
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
S08
1 - 1
VIF
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
VIF
3 - 1
VKG
41%
23%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BBS
2 - 1
VIF
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
RIN
1 - 11
RBK
3%
9%
88%
|
84 | 9 | 75 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RBK
1 - 0
FFK
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
STR
1 - 2
RBK
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RBK
2 - 0
AIK
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VKG
3 - 2
RBK
53%
22%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |