Valerenga IF vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
11º
10º
17
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 1
VIF
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
KFU
0 - 1
VIF
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 1
VIF
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
IFK
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
0 - 1
VKG
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
BBS
0 - 3
MFK
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
HAM
2 - 1
MFK
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
MFK
3 - 4
KRI
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |