UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 3-5
Valerenga IF vs Mladá Boleslav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
ODD
3 - 2
VIF
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
MBO
3 - 1
VIF
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
VIF
1 - 2
LYN
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
VIF
2 - 1
ELP
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
TRO
0 - 1
VIF
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
MBO
2 - 1
SIG
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
MBO
3 - 1
VIF
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
SLI
2 - 3
MBO
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
MBO
4 - 0
VJI
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ZBR
4 - 2
MBO
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |