Valerenga IF vs Haugesund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
11º
11º
2
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 0
VIF
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
FFK
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 3
MFK
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 1
VIF
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 2
KFU
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
S08
3 - 1
HAU
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 0
KRI
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SDF
4 - 0
HAU
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 4
BOG
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |