Valerenga IF vs HamKam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
11º
10º
14
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 1
VIF
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 2
VIF
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
VIF
0 - 2
RBK
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GOF
1 - 1
VIF
5%
12%
84%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
S08
4 - 0
HAM
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
LYN
0 - 2
HAM
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 0
KFU
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 0
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 1
HAM
10%
16%
74%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |