Valerenga IF vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VIF
4 - 2
MJO
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KON
2 - 2
VIF
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
VIF
4 - 1
ELP
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRY
1 - 1
VIF
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
VIF
5 - 0
ASA
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
S08
0 - 1
FFK
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
3 - 2
VKG
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MFK
6 - 1
FFK
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 0
ODD
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 0
FFK
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |