Valerenga IF vs Bryne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
11º
11º
18
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 56% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
BOG
7 - 2
VIF
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
3 - 0
HAU
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 0
VIF
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
FFK
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
VIF
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bryne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 3
VKG
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 1
BRY
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 0
VIF
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
KFU
1 - 1
BRY
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 1
HAM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |