Valenciennes II vs Douai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SED
3 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
5 - 0
MEZ
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 1
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 1
ROY
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 2
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
DOU
0 - 0
ESW
23%
26%
51%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CRE
1 - 0
DOU
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DOU
0 - 1
CHA
13%
21%
67%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LES
5 - 1
DOU
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
DOU
0 - 0
FEI
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +2 |