Valenciennes II vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
DOU
2 - 0
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
SED
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 3
VAL
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
ESW
71%
19%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 3
CAL
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LES
1 - 1
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 2
RAC
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |