Valenciennes vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
GUI
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PFC
0 - 1
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
SOC
26%
29%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
OOS
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 0
RED
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
RED
0 - 1
BOU
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LPV
0 - 2
RED
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
RED
2 - 2
FCM
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
RED
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |