Valenciennes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
VAL
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 3
VAL
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 2
VAL
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
VAL
35%
28%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 4
FUL
32%
30%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
MPL
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |