Valenciennes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
SOC
12 - 1
VAL
82%
11%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
VAL
5 - 3
RAC
26%
20%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
OLY
3 - 5
VAL
57%
20%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
VAL
1 - 5
OLL
32%
22%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
ANT
3 - 1
VAL
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
MET
2 - 0
REN
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
ANT
0 - 0
MET
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
RED
6 - 2
MET
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
MET
2 - 1
CAN
51%
20%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
MET
0 - 2
FIV
54%
20%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |