Valenciennes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
STR
4 - 0
VAL
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
VAL
3 - 1
REN
46%
21%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
SÈT
1 - 1
VAL
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
FIV
3 - 2
VAL
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
VAL
2 - 5
CAN
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
SÈT
2 - 1
MET
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
MET
5 - 1
STR
32%
23%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
MET
2 - 1
FCM
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
SOC
6 - 0
MET
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1935 |
RAC
3 - 5
MET
82%
11%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |