Valenciennes vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
PFC
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 2
VAL
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
AUX
1 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEN
28%
26%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
AUX
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
STA
0 - 1
LOR
1%
4%
95%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 4
LOR
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
GRE
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
LOR
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |