Valenciennes vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 3
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
NAN
2 - 5
VAL
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TRO
3 - 0
LOR
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 0
LOR
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |