Valenciennes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MPL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 3
VAL
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 3
TRO
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 0
LIL
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 0
MON
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
LIL
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |