Valenciennes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
SOC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
SED
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
LYO
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 3
LIL
29%
27%
45%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 0
REN
64%
21%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |