Valenciennes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 2
VAL
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AJA
58%
24%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 2
VAL
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASS
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
LIL
7%
19%
74%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 6
LIL
1%
12%
87%
|
89 | 26 | 63 | 0 |