Valenciennes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
ROD
1 - 1
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
LMU
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ASN
1 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 2
DIJ
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 0
LOR
22%
24%
53%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
AUX
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
ORL
2 - 0
GUI
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 5
GUI
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
TRO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |