Valenciennes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIL
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MPL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 3
VAL
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 1
GIR
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MPL
1 - 1
GUI
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 0
LIL
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LYO
2 - 0
GUI
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |