Valenciennes vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
LOR
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 1
AUX
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GAZ
2 - 0
GRE
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
AUX
3 - 1
GAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LOR
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
AUX
2 - 3
GAZ
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
GAZ
1 - 1
PFC
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |