Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 3
LIL
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |